UP427911 Seminar

SoSe 22: The geopolitical conflict between China and the West

Heribert Dieter

Hinweise für Studierende

Kommentar

For decades, Western observers assumed that China will eventually become an open, democratic society. Furthermore, many policy makers expected that China will eventually depart from its mercantilist approach in both trade and investment policies. The increasingly assertive, if not aggressive foreign policy of China has made it very clear that China is different and will remain different. The West ”got China wrong” (The Economist, March 2018). Today, the rise of China is seen with skepticism in many OECD-countries. The geopolitical conflict between China and the West appears to be the most pressing issue in international relations for years to come. Against this background, the future of international relations, including trade and investment flows, will very much depend on policies of both developed as well as developing countries towards China. Some of the questions to be discussed in the seminar will be: What did Western governments expect from a rising China? Is the Chinese government eager to decouple? Will a new economic iron curtain emerge? How robust is the Chinese economy? Has credit in China spiraled out of control? What are the effects of China’s ”Belt and Road Initiative”? Is China becoming the region’s banker – and is Beijing willing exercise its rights? China and India – Will New-Delhi join the new alliance of liberal democracies against China? The increasing influence of China: Beijing’s ”sharp power” and its effects on affected countries The asymmetric investment policies of China: Will the West have to develop restrictions on Chinese foreign direct investment? Are the increasingly authoritarian policies of the Chinese Communist Party a sign of strength or of weakness? What are the instruments of internal control? Is China contributing to the development of poorer countries or is it exploiting them in a neo-colonial fashion? What are the potential responses of liberal democracies to the rise of autocratic regimes in both China and Russia? Are new groups likely to emerge? Schließen

Literaturhinweise

Ang, Yuen, Yuen (2018): Autocracy With Chinese Characteristics. Beijing’s Behind-the-Scenes Reforms. Foreign Affairs, Vol. 97, No. 3, pp. 39-46. Berkofsky, Axel (2020): The EU and China. From ”Strategic Partners” to ”Systemic Rivals”, in: Berkofsky, Axel; Sciorati, Gulia (eds.): Mapping China’s Global Future. Playing Ball or Rocking the Boat? Italian Institute for International Political Studies, January 2020, pp. 100-111. Böge, Friederike (2020): Die unvollendete Revolution. Aus Politik und Zeitgeschichte, 70. Jahrgang, 8-10/2020, pp. 4-10. Brautigam, Deborah (2020): A critical look at Chinese ‘debt-trap diplomacy’: the rise of a meme. Area Development and Policy, Vol. 5, No. 1, pp. 2-14. Chen, Sally; Kang, Joong Shik (2018): Credit Booms - Is China Different? IMF Working Paper WP 18/2, January 2018, available at https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/ Issues/2018/01/05/Credit-Booms-Is-China-Different-45537 Deutscher Bundestag, Wissenschaftliche Dienste (2020): Das chinesische Sicherheitsgesetz für die Sonderverwaltungszone Hongkong in der rechtlichen Diskussion, WD 2-3000-049/20, available at https://www.bundestag.de/resource/blob/706784/ 09c84d3a3a6e07595a99889dc98507cc/WD-2-049-20-pdf-data.pdf Dieter, Heribert (2021): Chinas neuer Langer Marsch. Zwischen Selbstisolation und offensiver Außenpolitik. Bonn: Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung. Economy, Elisabeth C. (2018): China’s New Revolution. The reign of Xi Jinping. Foreign Affairs, Vol. 97, No. 3, pp. 60-74. Ehlers, Torsten; Kong, Steven; Zhu, Feng (2018): Mapping shadow banking in China: structure and dynamics. Bank for International Settlements, Working Paper 701, February 2018, available at https://www.bis.org/publ/work701.pdf Feigenbaum, Evan A. (2017): China and the World. Dealing with a Reluctant Power. Foreign Affairs, January/February 2017, pp. 33-40. Garnaut, John (2018): How China Interferes in Australia. And How Democracies Can Push Back. Foreign Affairs, 9 March 2018. Hurley, John; Morris, Scott; Portelance, Gailyn (2018): Examining the Debt Implications of the Belt and Road Initiative from a Policy Perspective. Center for Global Development. Policy Paper 121, March 2018, available at https://www.cgdev.org/ sites/default/files/examining-debt-implications-belt-and-road-initiative-policy-perspective.pdf Ikenberry, John G. (2008): The Rise of China and the Future of the West. Can the Liberal System Survive? Foreign Affairs, Vol. 87, No. 1, pp. 23-37. Ikenberry, G. John (2014): The Illusion of Geopolitics. The Enduring Power of the Liberal Order. Foreign Affairs, May/June 2014, pp. 80-90. Kawase, Kenji (2019): China’s housing glut casts pall over economy. Nikkei Asia, 13 February 2019, available at https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/The-Big-Story/China-s-housing-glut-casts-pall-over-the-economy. Kostka, Genia (2018): China’s Social Credit Systems and Public Opinion: Explaining High Levels of Approval. Layne, Christopher (2018): The US-Chinese power shift and the end of the Pax Americana. International Affairs, Vol 94, No. 1, pp. 89-111. Lind, Jennifer (2018): Life in China’s Asia. What Regional Hegemony Would Look Like. Foreign Affairs, Vol. 97, No. 2, pp. 71-82. Shambaugh, David (2005): China engages Asia. Reshaping the Regional Order. International Security, Vol. 29, No. 3 (Winter 2004/2005), pp. 64-99. Shambaugh, David (2014): China at the Crossroads: Ten Major Reform Challenges. The Brookings Institution, October 2014. Song, Zheng Michael; Xiong, Wei (2018): Risks in China’s Financial System. NBER Working Paper 24230, January 2018, available at http://www.nber.org/papers/w24230 Yamada, Go; Palma, Stefania (2018): Is China’s Belt and Road working? A progress report from eight countries, Financial Times, 1 April 2018. Westad, Odd Arne (2019): The Sources of Chinese Conduct. Are Washington and Beijing Fighting a New Cold War? Foreign Affairs, Vol. 98, No. 5, September/October 2019, pp. 86-95. Zhiwu, Chen (2015): China’s Dangerous Debt. Why the Economy could be headed for Trouble, Foreign Affairs, 94. Jg., Nr. 3 (May/June 2015), pp. 13-18. Schließen

Studienfächer A-Z